Current Affairs

It is really not a question of latitudes, but it is a question of when does a war start and peace begin… There are two wars on at the moment, one in Ukraine and the other in the Gulf, but are these wars real, or are we in an incredibly strange world where the argument of peace has been held off by a set of arguments that have left the United States bereft of arguments and lost in a mountain of debt that challenges the futures market…

It sounds strange, but the United States more than Europe and possibly China is fighting an extraordinary battle, which is the argument of retooling the country into a future it believes will give it a lead in a tech world dominated by China.

But is the US lead in the tech field really the argument for the future of technology?

So the question has to be where is the money coming from to retool the US and its dominance in the tech market. I have been assured that the US raiding of Venezuela’s reserves is an aspect of market control, – how and in what way is this argument relevant is as much a guess as it is to the US Treasury, State Department and presidency, but the reality is that the presidency is floundering.

It is symptomatic of this presidency to push an argument that relates directly to the manipulation of markets (penalizing the poor, blah, blah), but it is more than that, it is an extraordinary fiefdom determined to destroy, manipulate and degrade the US standing internationally. Of course, you can make arguments that the custard flop old man is an aberration, but unfortunately he has cornered the US into horrible positions, militarily, fiscally, and diplomatically, without reason or argument… that could readdress the real issues that need to be looked at urgently.

“It’s the economy stupid” has won and lost elections, but when someone like Andrew Bailey questions where the world economy is heading, then you know there are serious problems in the US. Of course I started the article off arguing that futures are key to US problems and the reason two wars are questionably dragging on. Maybe the question is more to do with the retooling of the world rather than anything else, which is also a question of who is and who will be retooling states and governments with the latest arguments in AI and environment technology. 

Whereas in Iran it is more a question of the identity of the state, how it is perceived and in what way the state can re-enter a world that has been attacked by the state. Is there an argument of forgive and forget – that really is a hard ask for states attacked by the theocracy-, but more a question of “Can Iran really build an identity that  is acceptable to its neighbors?” 

Iran has a choice, a real choice and that is acceptance that the state can change and through change develop the economy and bring new ideas, arguments and ways of thinking out into the open. These ideas, arguments and new ways of thinking are already part of the state – but the apparatus securing the state has gravitated toward a conservative and less defined argument rather than being part of the dynamics both within and outside the state.

During the war with the US and Israel (plus gulf states Iran attacked), there has been a strange type of putsch… an immoral attempt to control the narrative of the state – a IRGC putsch with Mohsen Rezai’s thirst for power accumulating with the US a strange type of argument that enriches the few on actions so outrageous that the zero sum argument of Ayaytollah Ali Khamenei before the war actually looks progressive. But was there really a case, argument or even proof that Ayatollah Khamenei is still alive, or is it just a question of a refrigerated corpse signing directives and aligning arguments with the arguments of Rezai and the IRGC to speculate on the futures market….

The cry for help is evident, very much an argument cemented into a landscape built around the pigheadedness of two men, two identities that are very similar. Trump and Rezai are not very different, both greedy, ideologically bankrupt with a thirst for power and very little support internationally. Prezeshkian and Galibaff  have made it clear – with a nod and a wink – that Khamenei is very difficult to speak to – so does it mean there has been state capture by the IRGC and if so, isn’t Trump empowering the argument of Mohsen Rezai, unless he has the resources and intelligence to know Khamenei is alive, It is a strange paradox that the Iranian state is in this parallel argument that is creating mayhem on the world stage without being a revolutionary but a fiscal argument. 

The sycophantic nature of the US allies to toady up to Trump, is at best questionable and at worst  a realization that this only feeds on the ego of someone who not only denigrates national identity among the allies of the US, but also challenges their sovereignty. And in many ways that sovereignty is being tested to the hilt by the argument of where the bond market is and how the manipulation of this market by Beasant has led to a surcharge on Bonds right through the West. 

Of course the market turned on the UK, with OBR recorded over five percent, but it is the extraordinary question of the US that challenges the markets more than any other nation. The re-packaging of the debt taken on by the big six did not become a sub-prime moment because Nvidia repackaged its place not on the NAZDAQ but the Dow, giving a little air for the venture capitalists to find a return on their investments. But was it ever a question that the burden of market expectations meeting the ambitions of the brolarchy, with Anthropic valuing itself at $2trillion. Is the figure a real argument of what the potential of AI is, and is the question really a true reflection of the capital that can be garnered from AI, especially when China is offering the world a technically compliant vehicle that is cheaper, almost as powerful and likely to take much of the second and third AI world markets.

But it is the question that keeps rearing its head…. debt…. and management of that debt. In the past week Beasant has spent six billion dollars on propping up the Bond market, but Trump in his usually devious way has created an argument that every American citizen will receive $5,000 if the electorate vote Republican; however, this number does not make sense, it is ethereal, picked from the air, a number that resonates with the argument of what is real and the reality (or fantasy) of Trump’s political aspirations. The strange paradox is that the number is meant to reflect the tariffs charged to importers, but the Supreme Court has already quashed the argument and the US is repaying $250 billion to importers. 

So where does the money come from? Remember the figure of $6 billion, that is the amount Beasant has invested in buying Bonds to stabilize the markets, yet Trump is willing to ‘pay a dividend’ to every American of five thousand dollars. The total expenditure comes to $1.3 trillion, in other words adding three percent to the United States debt, which stands at $44 trillion. I have to put my hand up and say don’t rely on my argument, but do do the sums and see what you find. As said the argument is fluid, ethereal and extraordinary dangerous.It is destabilizing the markets at the moment government revenue is being questioned and how far the US is willing to underwrite its own Bond market. 

But back to the main point the question is how will the war in the Middle East end, will it end after the elections as Trump has predicted, or is it once again wishful thinking by the president. There are so many factors that are in play that the argument of who and what determines an argument in this war in the Middle East, is also a question of how much has the US speculated on the oil markets and how far Trump is willing to push his argument that there really is an answer to the position he finds himself. It is a really scary time, the MOU is dead and what comes next is really a never ending argument, just when the world is being retooled and the engine room of this change in the Western world is the US, which is spending a $1billion a day on the war, with the president offering a ‘dividend’ to the American people of $1.3 trillion and a Bond market that is unstable, even after Beasant’s intervention.

So who or what are the real winners…. Strangely enough it is Wall Street that is dictating US fiscal argument and if Europe, Asia and other players decided enough is enough, then the retooling of the US and world will grind to a halt as a credit crunch will pressure the US dollar, the bond market, venture capitalists and banks all trying to finance the retooling of the US. The arguments Trump has made for an end to the war in the Middle East is very much an ask that challenges everyone, but ultimately the questions that do need to be asked are in the hands of a small cabal in the US and Iran, both hell bent on profiting at the expense of the rest of the world….