Category: War
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The movement away from the forever wars.
There is nothing quite like the spite of Putin, the end of Karabakh’s Armenian population is down to Armenia moving closer to the West. But the reasoning behind Putin’s negation of the Armenian population is down to larger concerns for the Russian government. The war in Ukraine has stripped the Russian military from much of…
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Putin’s mis-step
In the first days of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Vladimir Putin believed that the troops would be welcomed, because he believed that “Ukraine’s pro-Russian citizens had been driven underground and persecuted for their convictions.” The idea of liberator was central to the thinking of the Russian state, but the Ukrainians distinguished themselves, not just…
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Will Ukrainian grain reach the World
Since the beginning of the Russian invasion of Ukraine , Ukrainian exports have been seriously disrupted. The Russian Navy blockaded Ukrainian ports for four months and on the 22nd July 2022, Russia came to an agreement brokered by the United Nations and Turkey to open a safe maritime route for Ukrainian grain. But Russia has reneged on…
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NATO and the Ukrainian question.
It is highly unlikely that Ukraine will get NATO membership at the moment, but there is a model for Ukrainian membership and that is the German model. Germany was divided after the second World War and got NATO membership, could the same argument be made for Ukrainian membership of NATO?…. However, the German model took…
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Repatriation of Syrians from Lebanon
According to Human Rights Watch, between April and May there have been 2000 Syrian refugees forcibly returned to Syria from Lebanon. They were undocumented, but that hides the real reason that Syrian’s are being forcibly returned. Since 2013, donors have disbursed $13 billion for the 1.5 million refugees who have entered Lebanon to escape the…
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Sudan war
The civilians of Sudan have once again been denied a voice and the generals who set on one another have become entrenched in a war that has no answers, other than a protracted civil war. The history of this war can be found in the contest for power between Burnham and Hemedti, where a three…
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Power politics
Beijing has made an argument for the cessation of hostilities between Russia and Ukraine. But underlying it are a number of issues that will not end the war at the present moment. IN their plan they argue for an immediate end to the fighting and for peace talks to begin. But that would leave Ukraine…
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The world is reeling
While the world is still reeling from Putin’s so called special police operation in Ukraine a year ago, Diplomats were left clutching their sides in bellyaches of laughter, after the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov accused Ukraine of attacking Russia. This so called recalling of the special police operation into a farce that is reminiscent…
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One in ten
One thousand casualties per day, one in ten Russian’s know somebody who has been killed, but is the message getting through to the Russians that this an incredibly costly war for the Russian military. It was not evident to the world after Putin’s speech to the state, nor was it evident when he postured in…
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What Ukraine wants
What to make of Biden’s trip to Kiev and Putin’s speech, are just distractions from what Ukraine needs. The question has to be can Ukraine win with current losses, 100,000 either dead or injured. Russia itself is haemorrhaging manpower, 200,000 dead or wounded, a statistic of 2:1 in favour of the Ukrainians. But the argument…
