• Intelligence and the move towards realising the hole Iran is in

    Apart from the decision to think Israel was bluffing, the Iranians have made a catalogue of mistakes that have made its decisions to fight a war impossible. The concept that Ayatollah khamanei is threatening the United States falls into the bracket of not registering the reality of the states weakness. Trump may buy into the…

  • Diplomacy or revenge

    There was something that didn’t quite fit in with the news conference given by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. The niceties of the press conference were mixed with a statement from the state that rambled on with threats and then on to international law. The elements that were most talked about were those of international law,…

  • The failure of the Revolutionary Guard and Ayatollah Khamenei

    There were no surprises when Israel attacked the nuclear facilities in Iran, what was a surprise was that the Iranians were not prepared to manage the attack last night. Trump had warned that Israel was going to attack Iran and its facilities, when he ordered the removal of all non essential personnel from the diplomatic…

  • Russia’s push to a revanchalist future

    Russia is going to set out its demands for a cessation to the hostilities in Ukraine in the coming week. The ideas, thoughts and arguments whether there is any workable argument that means Ukraine can accept an agreement is likely to be negated by the smattering of arguments coming from Washington. Whether Trump knows what…

  • Will Serbia continue as a corrupt clientalist state?

    European governments have not said much about the protests or protest movements in Serbia. It is odd that the protests didn’t hit the headlines and its odd that the continuation of the protests are not national arguments throughout Europe as the Serbian government has been using draconian measures to control the student demonstrations. The European…